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UK: Police relax monitoring of sex offenders to focus on high-risk criminals

Police forces have dropped measures designed to stop convicted sex criminals reoffending, the National Police Chiefs’ Council has said, in a bid to focus more on those who present a greater risk.

The new approach will see some low-risk offenders no longer being subject to annual home visits or having the risks they pose reassessed as thoroughly as before. Full Article

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  1. mike r

    yep more lies..” registry must be working only .16% reoffended” bunch of bs…I bet it was approx. the same before they had a registry just like here….

    • Timmr

      I don’t know about the UK, but I had started looking over the CDCR records on people incarcerated in California for sex crimes. I wanted to see how many people were in prison for sex crime compared to the general population before and after 1947, when the registry was created. Just glancing through it looks like the percentage of people convicted of sex crimes in prisons has been pretty much the same for that period from the 30’s until today. I was curious to see if the registry coincided with any changes in incarceration rates. Half the argument for the registry is that it is a deterent. I figure if the percentage of people in prison has stayed the same, it could be just one more piece of evidence that the registry has not been much of a positive influence in preventing crime.

      • AJ

        @Timmr
        That type of data analysis is very helpful and, I think, much needed. Hopefully you’re doing more than a personal curiosity with it, and maybe have presentable data(?). Was it you who a couple months back posted a review of crime from NYC, then toward the end revealed it to have been from the 20s or 30s? It was a wonderful point echoing your findings.

        • Timmr

          I remember that, but it wasn’t me. I hope someone saved that information.

      • New Person

        Timmr!!!! That would be a great research work to do and have an expert confirm it. That would completely shoot down the registry! I would love it if someone did that and posted it up as an article or something like that so it’s on publication with citations.

        • Timmr

          Well, I have all the CDCR reports copied, if someone good at data would help go through it, that would be great. The reports vary a bit categorizing sex crimes from year to year, so that would have to be taken into consideration, but looks like one can use the reports to draw a curve that represents sex offender inmate population per capita through the years. I am spending a lot of time now trying to keep my cash flow from cascading over a cliff and have put it aside.

          • TS

            Send your data to Janice Bellucci and I’ll contact her. I’m a data analyst and can do the work to determine correlation.

            • Timmr

              Ok!

            • Timmr

              I sent her the reports. If you need any help I can spend some time transfering data to spreadsheets. I look forward to seeing answered what seems to me to be an obvious question, do these sex offender laws have any correlation to numbers of people in prison. I tried to find someone who had already answered that, but couldn’t. Maybe I didn’t look hard enough. At least California keeps some good prison records.

  2. AJ

    “Skeer said the sex offender register worked well. Just 0.13% – 69 people – of the 52,000 people on it committed a serious offence last year, and 1,500 people committed a breach of their notification requirements.”

    Someone should teach Mr. Skeer that correlation does not necessarily establish causation. That a registry is in place AND just 0.13% recividated does not mean it’s BECAUSE of there being a registry. Just like if a black cat crosses my path AND I have a heart attack, in no way can one logically or confidently conclude I had the heart attack BECAUSE the cat crossed my path.

    That all said, it’s good to see the U.K. is getting some sense about things. Maybe they can nudge The American Colonies a bit and help us out! I wonder about, though doubt, any changes to immigration for us based on this.

    • AlexO

      Whoa, whoa, whoa…. Are you saying my Tiger Rock (on which I’m still making payments) is NOT the reason why no tigers have attacked me yet? I don’t know how I feel about that…

      • AJ

        @AlexO
        Correlation may also have causation, but it’s not necessarily so. In other words, you’d better hang onto that rock, just to be safe. 😉

        • kind of living

          @AJ ,,, good point , just like the registry better hold on to part of it ,because it may change luck or superstition

  3. Bill Arthur

    I wonder if this development might affect the UK’s policy of not admitting any US sex offenders, regardless of when they were convicted and their risk level. I was turned away at Heathrow airport three years ago, and would love to try again. My offense was CP possession 11 years ago with a sentence of probation. Anyone know of a lawyer in the UK that would know the procedure?

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