Does the Ellingburg decision open the door to revisiting Ex Post Facto as it relates to sex offender laws?

Source: Florida Action Committee 1/21/26

[ACSOL note: This is well written and invites other organizations to come together to plan a way forward.]

Related article: Non-Punitive in Name Only: How Ellingburg v. United States Threatens Florida’s “Civil” Registry Model

 

The Supreme Court’s decision in Holsey Ellingburg v. United States (No. 24-482) should reopen a long-overdue conversation about the constitutional foundations of modern sex offender laws. In Ellingburg, the Court made clear that labels do not control constitutional analysis: when a legal consequence operates like punishment, is imposed as part of a criminal judgment, enforced through the criminal justice system, and carrying real, coercive consequences, it must be treated as punishment for purposes of the Ex Post Facto Clause. That reasoning directly undercuts the legal fiction that has insulated sex offender registration and notification laws from meaningful constitutional scrutiny for more than two decades.

Since Smith v. Doe, 538 U.S. 84 (2003) , courts have relied on a rigid civil-versus-criminal distinction to uphold increasingly severe registration schemes, even as those laws have expanded far beyond passive record-keeping. To compound; the Federal government, states, counties and municipalities have viewed Smith as a blank check to expand laws as much as they want to, all under the excuse that it’s “civil”. Today’s registries impose lifetime reporting, public shaming, housing and employment bans, in-person reporting at police stations, residency and proximity restrictions, internet use restrictions, and criminal penalties (felonies) for technical violations – even unknowing ones. These burdens sure look far more like punishment than regulation. Yet Smith rested on assumptions about limited scope, minimal restraints, and public safety benefits that no longer reflect reality and have since been disproved by decades of empirical research.

Ellingburg signals that courts must look at how laws function in practice, not how legislatures describe them. Like restitution in Ellingburg, sex offender laws are imposed because of a conviction, enforced through criminal sanctions, and deter, incapacitate and deprive liberty. These are classic hallmarks of punishment, regardless of legislative disclaimers.

Revisiting sex offender laws does not mean abandoning …

Read the full commentary

 

Related posts

Subscribe
Notify of

If you are feeling extremely depressed and possibly even suicidal, please call or text 988 (suicide hotline) or any loved one who you believe is immediately available. If you feel depressed and in need of a friendly community and unbiased emotional support, you can email Alex and Marty at emotionalsupportgroup@all4consolaws.org

 

We welcome a lively discussion with all view points - keeping in mind...

  1. Submissions must be in English
  2. Your submission will be reviewed by one of our volunteer moderators. Moderating decisions may be subjective.
  3. Please keep the tone of your comment civil and courteous. This is a public forum.
  4. Swear words should be starred out such as f*k and s*t and a**
  5. Please avoid the use of derogatory labels.  Always use person-first language.
  6. Please stay on topic - both in terms of the organization in general and this post in particular.
  7. Please refrain from general political statements in (dis)favor of one of the major parties or their representatives.
  8. Please take personal conversations off this forum.
  9. We will not publish any comments advocating for violent or any illegal action.
  10. We cannot connect participants privately - feel free to leave your contact info here. You may want to create a new / free, readily available email address that are not personally identifiable.
  11. Please refrain from copying and pasting repetitive and lengthy amounts of text.
  12. Please do not post in all Caps.
  13. If you wish to link to a serious and relevant media article, legitimate advocacy group or other pertinent web site / document, please provide the full link. No abbreviated / obfuscated links. Posts that include a URL may take considerably longer to be approved.
  14. We suggest to compose lengthy comments in a desktop text editor and copy and paste them into the comment form
  15. We will not publish any posts containing any names not mentioned in the original article.
  16. Please choose a short user name that does not contain links to other web sites or identify real people.  Do not use your real name.
  17. Please do not solicit funds
  18. No discussions about weapons
  19. If you use any abbreviation such as Failure To Register (FTR), Person Forced to Register (PFR) or any others, the first time you use it in a thread, please expand it for new people to better understand.
  20. All commenters are required to provide a real email address where we can contact them.  It will not be displayed on the site.
  21. Please send any input regarding moderation or other website issues via email to moderator [at] all4consolaws [dot] org
  22. We no longer post articles about arrests or accusations, only selected convictions. If your comment contains a link to an arrest or accusation article we will not approve your comment.
  23. If addressing another commenter, please address them by exactly their full display name, do not modify or abbreviate their name. 
  24. Please check for typos, spelling, punctuation, and grammar errors before submitting.  Comments that have many errors will not be approved. 
ACSOL, including but not limited to its board members and agents, does not provide legal advice on this website.  In addition, ACSOL warns that those who provide comments on this website may or may not be legal professionals on whose advice one can reasonably rely.  
 

32 Comments
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments

Is this a first real challenge to the Registry Laws?

This could be big!

In theory if you were convicted prior to July 27th 2006, the date Adam Walsh Act was signed, then any Registry obligations would revert back to what they were on the date of conviction. A larger question that needs to be examined is the states, such as South Carolina, where an individual can be labeled a Tier II at the state level (convicted in a State Court only for State charges) yet the PFR has reporting obligations as a Tier III because of federal law. How does Ellingburg offer relief on a state by state basis?
I reference the Adam Walsh inception date specifically because that is the date Congress delegated their powers to the Administrative State and the DOJ to retro-actively apply all registry laws to everyone with an applicable conviction. So does Ellingburg ask about ex post facto only or does it also create a way to challenge the Delegation Clause?

This is the best line from the opinion:

“When determining whether a law violates the Ex Post Facto Clause, the Court must evaluate whether the law imposes a criminal or penal sanction as opposed to a civil remedy.”

For us in the 6th now with the Does case, it is huge. We also have multiple cases already in front of the Michigan Supreme Court. No waiting years for cases to get there. I’m guessing that the lawyers and ACLU will file briefs with this new analysis and IN OUR FAVOR that came directly from a days old SCOTUS case as precedent.

MUST evaluate criminal or penal sanction VS CIVIL REMEDY. No more hiding behind legislative BS that the attorneys feed to the courts as a reason.

Though it didn’t overturn Smith, Smith as it existed 23 years ago does not exist today. The text and STRUCTURE of these registry laws today clearly impose criminal and penal sanctions, as well as follow every criminal and punishment structure that SCOTUS just shot down on ex post facto grounds here.

Now we aren’t talking pre 2011 at the 6th COA. We are talking anyone who committed such offense prior to these punishing laws.

My guess is that it is now “safe” to reverse their course, as the registration laws have officially been on the books for decades now, which means that the new argument will be that it is no longer retroactive if sentenced WHILE the registration laws were in existence.

  1. SORA as a strict liability offense. These cases are the key to your “Deterrence Trap” argument: if the law is strict liability, it isn’t about safety or intent; it’s about punishing a status. 
  2. The “Strict Liability” Case List
  • People v. Manson, 173 Misc. 2d 806 (N.Y. Crim. Ct. 1997): This is the foundational case. The court ruled that Correction Law § 168-t (failure to register) does not require the state to prove you intended to break the law. It established that SORA is a strict liability crime, meaning “ignorance of the law is no defense.”
  • People v. Patterson (2000): Building on Manson, the court here explicitly rejected a defense challenge that the state must allege a “knowing and intentional” failure to register. It confirmed that the act of failing to register itself is sufficient for a conviction, reinforcing the deterrence-only nature of the penalty.
  • People v. Haddock, 48 A.D.3d 969 (3d Dept. 2008): While some courts later added a “knowledge” requirement for specific elements (like knowing you had a duty to register), this case highlights that the prosecution’s burden remains low because “knowledge” can be inferred simply from the fact that you were notified once. 
  1. Why These Cases Are “Proof Positive” of Punishment
  2. Under the new Ellingburg v. United States standard, these cases can be used to argue that SORA has crossed the line from “civil regulation” into “criminal punishment”:
  3. Deterrence is the Only Goal: If a law is strict liability (as per Manson and Patterson), it doesn’t care if you are actually “dangerous” or if you made a mistake. Its only function is to deter through the threat of a felony. Ellingburg rules that deterrence is a hallmark of punishment.
  4. The “Status” Penalty: Because the felony triggers even for “harmless” acts (like missing a 90-day verification while homeless, as seen in People v. Allen), it functions as a permanent, punitive weight attached to your original conviction.

Strict Liability offenses are reserved for CRIMINAL law!

Rulings Exposing Punitive Effects
People ex rel. Rivera v. Superintendent (2023):  The New York Court of Appeals held that applying certain residency restrictions (under the Sexual Assault Reform Act, or SARA) to an individual whose crimes predated the law was  punitive in effect. The court found that because these restrictions effectively prolonged the petitioner’s incarceration past his release date (due to a lack of “SARA-compliant” housing), they violated the  Ex Post Facto Clause  of the Federal Constitution. People v. Knox & Subsequent Dissent (2023):  While the majority in  People v. Knox  (2009) upheld the registration of non-sexual offenses (such as kidnapping with no sexual motive), recent dissenting opinions from the  New York Court of Appeals  have argued that this “mismatch” between the law’s goal (public safety) and its application to non-sex offenses is indefensible and violates  due process rights. People v. Allen (2023):  An appellate court found that SORA’s strict verification requirements were  unconstitutional as applied  to homeless individuals. The court ruled that the law’s failure to account for those without a fixed address deprived them of due process, highlighting the law’s “punitive” burden on vulnerable populations.  The Strict Liability Conflict
The “punitive” nature is most visible in the enforcement of  Correction Law § 168-t
Felony Penalties:  A first failure to register is a Class E felony, and subsequent failures are  Class D felonies. Some legal experts argue these penalties can be more severe than the original underlying offense. Strict Liability Standards:  In cases like  People v. Stevens, courts have ruled that the state does not need to prove a defendant “knowingly” failed to register, only that they did not. This  strict liability  standard means an unintentional error can lead to a mandatory felony conviction, a structure reserved for criminal, not civil, law.  Despite these rulings, the  Second Circuit Court of Appeals  in  Doe v. Pataki  (1997) and subsequent cases continues to uphold SORA as a whole as  non-punitive, allowing the state to maintain its civil classification while enforcing strict criminal penalties. 

The unanimous Supreme Court decision in Ellingburg v. United States
(2026) 

provides a powerful legal framework to argue that New York’s SORA can no longer be shielded by a “civil” label. 

By ruling that restitution is “plainly criminal punishment,” the Court established that a sanction’s true nature—not its legislative name—determines if it is subject to the Ex Post Facto Clause

Proof SORA Meets the Ellingburg “Punishment” Standard 

Under the factors identified in Ellingburg, the 2005 SORA amendments align with criminal punishment in several key ways:

  • Deterrence over Remediation: Justice Kavanaugh’s opinion emphasized that when a statute is designed for deterrence and “meting out appropriate criminal punishment,” it is penal. The 2005 shift to strict liability felonies (Class E and Class D) for registration failures moved the goal from “notifying the public” to “deterring non-compliance” through the threat of significant prison time.
  • The “Coercive Penalty” Test: Justice Thomas’s concurrence in Ellingburg argued that any law imposing a “coercive penalty” to address a “public wrong” is criminal. SORA’s 2005 felony upgrades and lifetime monitoring are among the most coercive non-custodial penalties in New York law.
  • Ineffectiveness of the “Civil Procedure” Shield: In Ellingburg, the Court rejected the government’s argument that civil-sounding procedures (like those in SORA hearings) can mask a criminal penalty. This directly challenges New York’s reliance on Smith v. Doe, as Ellingburg clarifies that once a sanction becomes “sufficiently criminal,” the Ex Post Facto Clause must apply regardless of previous “regulatory” claims.
  • Codification & Sentencing Integration: Like the restitution in Ellingburg, SORA requirements are inextricably linked to the criminal conviction and are enforced through the criminal justice system (parole, probation, and police reporting), further proving their punitive nature. 

The Impact of “Strict Liability”

The 2005 amendments transformed a reporting violation into a strict liability crime, meaning an individual can be convicted of a felony without any “willful” intent to break the law. Under Ellingburg, this lack of “remedial flexibility” strongly suggests the law is intended to punish the individual rather than simply protect the public. 
For the full legal analysis, you can read the official opinion on SCOTUSblog or the case summary at Oyez.

Here in floriduh we’re fighting proposed bill HB 212 and this decision might come in handy in our argument

@BM ;
Thank you for all your hard work and input keeping us aware of all the cases that relate to our upcoming hearing here in Michigan, after us I can see this being involved nationally,,,,

thanks again! And I hope the ACLU is reading your posts 😎

There is really nothing new about this decision, as it pertains to substantive changes in law verse alleged procedural changes in law. This also goes with bills of attainder ex post facto violation and against our constitutional guaranteed right to be fully restored back to full-time citizenship after pains have been endured. In most States, “registration” is found in the Unified Code of Corrections and never found in any criminal code or in any civil direct code. It is deemed quasi criminal and when civil penalties keep being imposed on a sentence that has been fulfilled, those civil penalties create a unwarranted double jeopardy matter, like implicated in Illinois decent in Illinois People v Malchow, the dissenting judge asks as to why no person has been charged 730 ILCS 150/10 violation as a separations of powers infringement, where it says if you lie, you are guilty, sounds like to me a legislation finding of guilty and not any judicial one. That or where it says 7 days in jail and a fine of 500 and still a prison term , so how is that not double jeopardy. Some of these matters were raised in Missior and upheld that a right to counsel can be attached when a tech violation occurs, but still counsel is denied or the new 3 years to life parole that create an unwarranted civil commitment while DOC reaps the rewards on illegal slavery, that first amendment protects from singling out a specific group. There can be no doubt registration is all about billions of money generated illegally.

Around 2012 a similar matter had arisen from Apprendi and still today not one person seems to get any relief.