Rate of Re-Offense Drops Again

According to a new report from the CA Department of Corrections and Rehabilitation (CDCR), the rate of re-offense for registrants on parole declined again in 2015. This is the third consecutive reduction in the rate of re-offense reported by the CDCR.

The new CDCR report states that the rate of re-offense for registrants on parole was .6 percent in 2015. That rate compares to CDCR reported rates of .8 percent in 2014, 1.8 percent in 2013 and 1.9 percent in 2012.

“The CDCR reports debunk the myth that registrants have a high rate of re-offense,” stated ACSOL President Janice Bellucci. “The fact is that very few registrants commit a subsequent sex offense.”

By comparison, many state and federal government agencies have reported that more than 90 percent of individuals who commit sex offenses are not registrants, but instead are family members, teachers, coaches and clergy.

According to the new CDCR report, more than half of registrants on parole return to custody during the three-year period after their initial release. The biggest reason for their return to custody is not the commission of a sex offense, but instead is violation of a condition of parole. Conditions of parole include consumption of alcohol, possession of a toy and curfew violations.

CDCR 2015 Outcome Evaluation Report – Aug 2016   (p. 30-31)


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Doesn’t matter. Slam them with vague & ambiguous, ,non-crime related rules & restriction, make them pay for polygraph after polygraph after polygraph and then make them pay and pay and pay for weekly treatment and finally, violate their conditions of release. In some cases, because they can’t pay!!! And “somebody” is getting rich on the backs of registered sex offenders. Others feed off their unchecked power on the backs of registered sex offenders. All this for .8% Why don’t they put all convicts through this? Seriously, I’m asking. . .

And of course the Static-99R, with its myriad of disingenuous qualifications and inaccurate norms, will obfuscate the recidivism statistics in this report.

More ammunition to fight the “frightening and high” garbage.

I worry about this so limited report they issue. And only for those on parole.

What they will argue is that this proves registration is working, and if anything, we need more of it. We need numbers from 25years ago, 20 years ago — to compare to show registration has accomplished nothing. Otherwise we lose this argument.

I will note, I had a federal Justice Department report from the late 1990s that had the sex offender recidivism rate at about 2,5 or 3% – that or other numbers from prior to the push for registration since the Clinton administration made it a federal mandate would be critical to compare in order to show how pointless registration is. We need to show the recidivism rate never was at significant levels, not that it isn’t at a signficant level with draconian registration requirements.

Wait. Are you saying that the “recidivism” rate for registrants on parole was .6% for ALL offenses/ violations, not just sexual ones? That is amazing since a lot of parolees live with their PO, the police and the busybodies of the general public looking up their backside with a microscope 24/7!