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General News

The Criminal History of Federal Offenders

[ 5/17/18]

(Published May 17, 2018) The publication The Criminal History of Federal Offenders provides for the first time complete information on the number of convictions and types of offenses in the criminal histories of federal offenders sentenced in a fiscal year.

While the Commission has collected the criminal history points and Criminal History Category (CHC) as determined under the guidelines, it has not collected complete information on the number of convictions or the types of offenses in the criminal histories of federal offenders until now. The Commission is now able to utilize recent technological improvements to expand the scope of information it collects on an offender’s criminal history and provide a more complete assessment of the criminal history of federal offenders. In completing this report, the Commission collected additional details about the criminal histories for 61,946 of the 67,742 federal offenders sentenced in fiscal year 2016 for whom complete documentation was submitted to the Commission.

Read the report


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Looks like they are trying to make the case for their assertion that those convicted of a pornography offense will go one to commit a sexual assault.

If they could make that case with the data , it would have been made in the study.

Did you even read the study before commenting? Because it says this on page six: “Overall, 40.8 percent of child pornography offenders with at least one past conviction had been convicted of a violent offense. Rape or sexual assault was the most common violent offense among child pornography offenders, with one-quarter (26.4%) of all child pornography offenders with a prior conviction having been convicted of one of those offenses…”

So if nearly 27% of Child Pornography offenders having previously been convicted of a contact offense, it shows a predilection. (Speaking as a the Devils Advocate)

The correlation is between the previous conviction for rape/sex assault and going on to commit CP offenses. Not the other way around. Not being previously convicted of CP and then going on to commit rape/sex assault. Yet, even what is measured is not a high predilection. What is being measured, again, is not CP offenders going on to rape/sex assault. It is rape/sex assault offenders going on to CP. Of those offenders whose instant offense was CP who had a previous criminal record, 40.6% had a violent offense. 27% of those were rape/sex assault. Therefore, the rate of Federal Offenders who were previously convicted of rape/sex assault that go on to be convicted of CP is (.406) X (.27) = .118. In other words,those rape/sex assault convicts, who go on to another crime, roughly 11 or 12 percent of the time went on to be convicted of CP.

Those numbers just don’t seem right.

In this report, the rape/sexual assault offenders have a very low repeat offense rate, from .4% to 7% and confirms what we have been saying all along. Only murderers are lower. The high criminal history rate of people convicted of pornography is surprising, though.

yes, but what percent of registrant classes ( 2 are used in the study…CP and rape/sex assault ) were excluded from the study for having no criminal record or had incomplete information? Combining registrant classes with all offenders to attribute high recidivism rates to registrants to later specifically analyze registrant classes can be misleading.

From looking at page 6 of the study, my question is answered. 1/2 were excluded for no past criminal record.

correction to my last post. We do not know the rate of rape/sex assault offenders to later be convicted of CP. I incorrectly derived that and that was an error.

The main thing to take away from my convoluted comments ( sorry for that ) is that it was not measured what is the rate of those convicted of CP and not earlier convicted of rape/sex assault going on to commit rape/sex assault.

Would love your thoughts, please comment.x